- Source: 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.
The seat was previously held by Republican John McCain, who won his final term in 2016 and died from glioblastoma on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and Ducey replaced him with Martha McSally, who then lost to Democrat Mark Kelly in 2020.
Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2, 2022. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a large field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, Kelly led Masters by low single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign. On November 1, Libertarian nominee Marc Victor dropped out of the race and endorsed Masters.
Kelly won re-election, defeating Masters by a comfortable margin of about 5 points. This was the first time Democrats won a full term to this seat since 1962. The 2022 race was competitive and seen as crucial to determining party control of the U.S. Senate; with Kelly's victory in Arizona and a Democratic victory in Nevada, in addition to a Democratic gain in Pennsylvania, it was projected on November 12 that the Democratic caucus would retain control of the Senate in the 118th United States Congress. Masters conceded the race to Kelly on November 15, 2022.
Democratic primary
= Candidates
=Nominee
Mark Kelly, incumbent U.S. Senator
= Endorsements
== Results
=Republican primary
= Candidates
=Nominee
Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation and former chief operating officer of Thiel Capital
Eliminated in primary
Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General
Jim Lamon, solar power businessman
Mick McGuire, retired U.S. Air Force major general and former adjutant general of the Arizona National Guard
Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission
Did not file
Craig Brittain
Robert Paveza, software engineer
Declined
Kirk Adams, former Chief of Staff to Governor Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives
Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district
Doug Ducey, outgoing Governor of Arizona
Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor (ran for governor)
Jack McCain, veteran and son of former U.S. Senator John McCain
Martha McSally, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (2019–2020)
Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party, former state senator, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018
Kimberly Yee, State Treasurer of Arizona (ran for re-election)
= Endorsements
== Polling
=Aggregate polls
Graphical summary
= Results
=Libertarian primary
= Candidates
=Nominee
Marc Victor, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012 (withdrew from general election, endorsed Blake Masters)
= Results
=General election
In what was initially expected to be one of the most widely contested elections in the nation, Kelly amassed a massive fundraising advantage over Masters, raising a record $75 million compared to Masters's $12 million. Due to the Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, which reversed Roe v. Wade, Kelly spent the campaign heavily attacking Masters over his anti-abortion stance, which was seen as hurting Masters especially among women voters. He also attacked Masters's support for privatizing Social Security, as Arizona has many retired seniors who use the program. Masters's claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen also hurt him among voters. Steven J. Law, the leader of a Republican-aligned super PAC, said that Masters "had scored the worst focus group results of any candidate he had ever seen," and cancelled all of its Arizona television advertisements supporting Masters to divert money to other races.
With the limited amount of money he had, Masters attempted to portray Kelly as weak on illegal immigration, supportive of spending programs that caused inflation, and too supportive of President Joe Biden. In the final weeks of the campaign, Republican groups increased the amount of money they were spending on the race and polls began to tighten, and many news outlets moved the race from lean Democrat to tossup. However, in the end, Kelly relatively easily defeated Masters, which helped Democrats in retaining the Senate. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Kelly won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Masters's defeat.
= Predictions
== Debates
== Endorsements
== Polling
=Aggregate polls
Graphical summary
= Results
=By county
By congressional district
Kelly won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.
See also
2022 United States Senate elections
2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
2022 Arizona elections
Notes
Partisan clients
References
External links
Official campaign websites
Mark Kelly (D) for Senate
Blake Masters (R) for Senate
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- 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona
- 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2022 Arizona Senate election
- 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia
- 2010 United States Senate election in Arizona