- Source: 2024 United States presidential election in Florida
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state. Florida is a Southern state substantially in the Bible Belt, having two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.
In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.
On election day, Trump defeated Harris in his home state by 13.1 points, flipping six counties and winning by the biggest margin since 1988. Trump also received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in the state, breaking his own record from 2020, and marking the first time since 1984 that a Republican netted over a million votes from the state.
On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state. That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination. On August 23, 2024, Kennedy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump. This is the first time since 1988 that the state was won with a double digit margin and also voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections, and Miami-Dade County voted Republican. Trump became the first Republican nominee to win Hillsborough County and Osceola County since 2004. He also flipped back Duval County, Pinellas County, and Seminole County after carrying them in 2016. Following the 2022 midterms, the election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state.
Primary elections
= Republican primary
=The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.
= Democratic primary
=On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary will be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns. Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move. On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot. The voter lost in district court.
Winner (Assumptive)
President Joe Biden
Endorsements
Hypothetical polling
General election
= Trump assassination attempt
=On September 15, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while golfing at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. 58-year-old Ryan Wesley Routh was spotted hiding in nearby shrubbery while aiming a rifle at a member of Trump's security detail. A Secret Service agent fired upon Routh, who fled the scene and was later captured in Martin County. The incident occurred two months after Trump survived a previous assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.
= Candidates
=The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Florida:
Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
Donald Trump, Republican Party
Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
Jill Stein, Green Party
Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation
Randall Terry, Constitution Party
Peter Sonski, American Solidarity Party
Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent (Write-in)
Cherunda Fox (Write-in)
In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended his campaign.
= Predictions
== Polling
=Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
= Results
=By county
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
Hillsborough (largest municipality: Tampa)
Miami-Dade (largest city: Miami)
Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)
Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg)
Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
By congressional district
Trump won 20 of 28 congressional districts.
Analysis
= Voter demographics
=See also
2024 Florida Amendment 3 (a voter initiative that occurred on the same day as the presidential election)
2024 Florida Amendment 4 (a referendum that occurred on the same day as the presidential election)
United States presidential elections in Florida
2024 United States presidential election
2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 United States elections
Notes
Partisan clients
References
Kata Kunci Pencarian:
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2024
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2016
- 2024
- Donald Trump
- Daftar dukungan kampanye presiden Donald Trump 2024
- Presiden Amerika Serikat
- Barack Obama
- Daftar dukungan kampanye presiden Kamala Harris 2024
- Konfederasi Amerika
- 2024 United States presidential election in Florida
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2000 United States presidential election in Florida
- United States presidential elections in Florida
- 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska
- 2004 United States presidential election in Florida
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- 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada
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- 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona