- Source: Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election
In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The "Union" of CDU/CSU, with the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU), who only run in Bavaria, where the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is not present, is usually combined, but sometimes counted separately. Some members of Die Linke split from the party in late 2023, forming the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), which has therefore also been present in the Bundestag and in the polls since 2024. The Free Voters (FW) are present in two state parliaments and one state government coalition. The Federal Government of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD), Alliance 90/The Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) broke up on 6 November 2024, with the SPD and the Greens afterward forming a minority government.
Poll results
= Graphical summary
== 2024
== 2023
== 2022
== 2021
== CDU and CSU
== Scenario polls
=New party scenarios
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
Boris Palmer list
Leadership scenarios
Olaf Scholz as SPD chancellor candidate
Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Other scenarios
National-wide CSU
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
By state
= Bavaria
== Berlin
== Brandenburg
== Hamburg
== Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
== North Rhine-Westphalia
== Rhineland-Palatinate
== Saxony
== Saxony-Anhalt
== Schleswig-Holstein
== Thuringia
=By Western and Eastern Germany
= Western Germany
== Eastern Germany
=Chancellor polling
These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.
= Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck
== Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck
== Scholz vs. Merz
== Pistorius vs. Merz
== Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel
== Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel
== Scholz vs. Söder
== Scholz vs. Wüst
== Scholz vs. Söder vs. Habeck
== Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
== Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock
== Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht
== Pistorius vs. Söder
== Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel
== Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel
== Scholz vs. Habeck
== Merz vs. Habeck
== Scholz vs. Günther
== Scholz vs. Röttgen
== Scholz vs. Braun
== Scholz vs. Laschet
== Scholz vs. Kretschmer
=Preferred coalition
Constituency projections
With the new electoral reform, constituency seats are only awarded if it is covered by the votes cast for the party in that state. As such, the number of constituency seats won by a party may be lower than that party's number of constituency pluralities.
= Constituency pluralities
== By probability
== Second place
=Notes
References
External links
Wahlrecht.de (in German)
pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
X: @Wahlen_DE (in German)
Kata Kunci Pencarian:
- Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election
- 2025 German federal election
- Opinion polling for the 2021 German federal election
- 2021 German federal election
- 2013 German federal election
- 2009 German federal election
- 2005 German federal election
- Elections in Germany
- Chancellor polling for the 2021 German federal election
- 1976 West German federal election
