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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Before President Joe Biden withdrew, it was considered a battleground state by some. However, after incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate, she was favored to keep New Mexico in the blue column.
Although Harris won New Mexico, her 6-point margin of victory was the worst for a Democratic presidential candidate in the state since John Kerry, who narrowly lost the state to George W. Bush in 2004, and the narrowest Democratic win at this level since Al Gore's 0.06% margin of victory in 2000. This is the 2nd time in a row that New Mexico voted to the right of neighboring Colorado since 1968, with the 2020 election being the first time that New Mexico voted to the right of its historically Republican neighbor in 50 years. This was also the second time in its history that it did note vote for the winner of the national popular vote, after 1976.
Primary elections
= Democratic primary
=The New Mexico Democratic primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, and South Dakota.
= Republican primary
=The New Mexico Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, and South Dakota.
= Libertarian primary
=The New Mexico Libertarian primary was held on June 6, 2024. 9 days after the 2024 Libertarian National Convention was held.
General election
= Candidates
=The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in New Mexico:
Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
Donald Trump, Republican Party
Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
Jill Stein, Green Party
Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation
Laura Ebke, Liberal Party USA
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)
= Predictions
== Polling
=Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
= Results
=By county
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Socorro (largest city: Socorro)
By congressional district
Harris won 2 of 3 congressional districts, with Trump winning the remaining one, which elected a Democrat.
Analysis
A Southwestern state, New Mexico has voted for the winner of the popular vote in every presidential election since statehood except for 1976 (backing the losing candidate, Republican Gerald Ford, by merely 2.47% and 10,271 votes) and in addition to its bellwether status is today a moderately blue state. The last Republican to win the state was George W. Bush from neighboring Texas in 2004. Democrats have held all statewide offices since 2019 and Democratic presidential candidates have consistently won the state since 2008.
New Mexico voted 7.5% to the left of the nation in this election, about 1 percent more Democratic than in 2020, during which it voted 6.3% to the left of the nation. Trump flipped majority-Hispanic Socorro County, becoming the first Republican to win the county since George H. W. Bush in 1988.
This is only the second time since statehood that New Mexico voted for the popular vote loser, after 1976, and the first time ever that it voted for a Democrat who lost the popular vote. It is also the second time since statehood that it voted for a different candidate than Nevada, another Southwestern state, after 2000.
See also
United States presidential elections in New Mexico
2024 United States presidential election
2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 United States elections
Notes
Partisan clients