- Source: 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia
The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Virginia with 54.11% of the vote, and by a margin of 10.1%, the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944. Trump became the first Republican incumbent to consecutively lose Virginia since William Howard Taft and Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948, Virginia Beach City since 1964, James City County since 1968, and Stafford County since 1976. He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party. Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County, a notable bellwether. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Caroline County, Nelson County, or Covington.
The diversification of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once-key battleground state without actively campaigning in it. Biden won Henrico County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, and Fairfax County with 63.7%, 61.5%, 63.6%, and 69.9%, respectively; all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia, the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia. All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000. In Arlington County, a closer DC-area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier, Biden won with 80.6% of the vote, becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to do so. Biden's combined margin in Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory. Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia, Biden carried government workers by 18%.
Primary elections
= Canceled Republican primary
=The Virginia Republican Party is one of several state GOP parties that have officially canceled their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively. At the Virginia State Republican Convention, originally scheduled for May 2020 but postponed to August 15, 2020, the state party will formally bind all 48 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.
= Democratic primary
=The Virginia Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020, as part of the "Super Tuesday" suite of elections.
Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were among the major declared candidates.
= Green primary
=The Green Party of Virginia conducted an online ranked choice primary from April 20 to April 26, 2020.
General election
= Predictions
== Polling
=Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Polls
= Results
=By city and county
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Chesapeake (independent city)
Chesterfield (no municipalities)
Lynchburg (independent city)
James City (no municipalities)
Stafford (no municipalities)
Virginia Beach (independent city)
By congressional district
Biden won 7 out of Virginia's 11 congressional districts.
Analysis
In this election, Virginia voted 5.6% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Although Virginia was considered a reliably Republican state at the presidential level from 1952 to 2004 (having only gone to the Democrats once during that period, in Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide), it has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2004. In recent years, densely populated counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington, D.C., have tilted towards the Democrats. This was the first election since 1988 that a presidential candidate won Virginia by double digits (George H. W. Bush having carried the state by 20.5% in his first run), and the first election in which any presidential candidate received over 2 million votes in Virginia.
As fellow Southern state Georgia tilted towards Biden, he became the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to carry both states. This was also the first election in which a former Confederate state backed a Democratic candidate by a margin of victory greater than 10% since 1996, when Arkansas and Louisiana did so for Bill Clinton.
Following the election, news and political analysts considered the presidential results in Virginia, along with Democrats holding the senate seat held by Mark Warner, their house congressional majority, plus the previous year's elections in which Democrats flipped the state General Assembly, to be indicative that it was no longer a swing state, but a blue state.
Their domination of state and local offices would be short-lived, however, as in 2021 the Republicans flipped the Democratic-held offices of governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as well as winning control of the Virginia House of Delegates. In 2023, Democrats recaptured the House of Delegates, winning full control of the General Assembly once again, albeit by narrower margins than what they acquired in 2019.
= Voter demographics
=See also
United States presidential elections in Virginia
2020 United States presidential election
2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
2020 United States elections
Notes
Partisan clients
References
External links
Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Virginia", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Virginia: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Virginia". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Virginia at Ballotpedia
Kata Kunci Pencarian:
- Amerika Serikat
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2024
- Presiden Amerika Serikat
- Donald Trump
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2016
- Kampanye kepresidenan Donald Trump 2020
- Sejarah Amerika Serikat
- County Providence, Rhode Island
- County Adams, Pennsylvania
- Agama menurut jumlah penganut
- 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia
- 2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia
- 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
- 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
- 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
- 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado
- 2020 United States presidential election in New York
- 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska
