- Source: 2024 Arizona Senate election
The 2024 Arizona Senate election was held on November 5, 2024. Voters elected members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections were held on July 30, 2024.
Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.
Background
= Partisan Background
=In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, is the only district Biden won in 2020 which is currently held by a Republican going into the 2024 Arizona Senate Election.
= Background
=Arizona, located along the United States border with Mexico, has a unique political history. Upon its admission to the Union in 1912, the state was dominated by Democrats who had migrated there from the South, and aside from the landslide victories of Republicans Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover, the state voted for Democrats until 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower carried it, and began a lengthy streak of Republican victories interrupted only by Bill Clinton's narrow victory in 1996. Since then, Arizona was considered a Republican stronghold, but has become a critical swing state and is seen as a purple state. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump won Arizona by 3.5% in 2016, while Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden prevailed by 0.3% in 2020.
The Arizona Democratic Party has not won outright control of either state legislative chamber since the 1990s. The last time the party won control of both chambers was in the 1960s. Since then, the state's trend towards Democrats and a consolidated effort on flipping control of the legislature has made this election seen as a tossup with both parties having an equal chance to win control of one or both chambers.
= Campaign
=This election is expected to be one of the most competitive state legislative races in the 2024 election cycle. Most ratings suggest the race to be a toss-up or having Democrats as the slight favorite to win the chamber. Additionally, the state Democratic Party's fundraising advantage is also expected to play a major role in which party wins control of the chamber. If Democrats win both chambers, it will be the first time that Democrats have had a trifecta in the state since 1966.
Predictions
= Statewide
== Competitive districts
=Overview
Retiring incumbents
= Republicans
=District 25: Sine Kerr was term-limited.
District 27: Anthony Kern ran for the United States House of Representatives.
District 30: Sonny Borrelli was term-limited.
= Democrats
=District 8: Juan Mendez was term-limited and ran for the Arizona House of Representatives.
District 24: Anna Hernandez ran for the Phoenix City Council.
Incumbents defeated
= In primaries
=Republicans
District 1: Ken Bennett lost renomination to Mark Finchem.
District 17: Justine Wadsack lost renomination to Vince Leach.
= In general election
=Democrats
District 4: Christine Marsh was defeated by Republican Carine Werner.
Summary of results by district
† - Incumbent not seeking re-election
Results
= District 1
== District 2
== District 3
== District 4
== District 5
== District 6
== District 7
== District 8
== District 9
== District 10
== District 11
== District 12
== District 13
== District 14
== District 15
== District 16
== District 17
== District 18
== District 19
== District 20
== District 21
== District 22
== District 23
== District 24
== District 25
== District 26
== District 27
== District 28
== District 29
== District 30
=Notes
References
Kata Kunci Pencarian:
- Kyrsten Sinema
- Mark Kelly
- Mark Udall
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2016
- Kamala Harris
- John McCain
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di Maine 2018
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di Connecticut 2018
- Daftar dukungan kampanye presiden Donald Trump 2024
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di New Jersey 2018
- 2024 Arizona Senate election
- 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2024 United States Senate elections
- 2024 Arizona elections
- 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
- 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona
- 2024 Arizona House of Representatives election
- 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
- 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona
