2016 United States presidential election in Arizona GudangMovies21 Rebahinxxi LK21

      The 2016 United States presidential election in Arizona was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
      Despite the country at-large swinging to the right, Arizona's Republican margin of victory decreased from 9.0% in 2012 to only 3.5% in 2016, thus making it one of 11 states (along with the District of Columbia) to swing toward the Democratic Party in this election. Trump's margin of victory in Arizona was the smallest for any Republican who won the presidency since Arizona's statehood in 1912, with Calvin Coolidge's 5.8% victory in 1924 being the second closest.
      Notably, Maricopa County, the state's most populous county, went more Democratic than the state as a whole for the first time in state history. The county had not voted for a Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948. Therefore, Trump's narrow win in the county suggested the Republican Party was losing ground in the state. In fact, the county and the state would go on to vote Democratic in 2020, although both would easily return to Trump's column in 2024.


      Primary elections




      = Democratic primary

      =

      Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

      Bernie Sanders
      Hillary Clinton
      Rocky De La Fuente
      Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
      Henry Hewes
      Michael Steinberg


      Opinion polling




      Results



      Detailed results per congressional district


      = Republican primary

      =

      Fourteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

      Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
      Ben Carson (withdrawn)
      Chris Christie (withdrawn)
      Ted Cruz
      Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
      Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
      Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
      John Kasich
      George Pataki (withdrawn)
      Rand Paul (withdrawn)
      Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
      Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
      Tim Cook
      Donald Trump


      = Green primary

      =

      The Arizona Green Party held its primary on March 22. Jill Stein won with 82% of the vote, and the overall number of voters that took place in the primary saw an increase from 561 in 2012 to 770 in 2016. Only two candidates qualified for the primary:


      General election




      = Polling

      =

      The first poll conducted in March 2016 showed a tie between Clinton and Trump. From March 2016 to October, the polling in this normally Republican state was quite close, with neither candidate seriously leading. In late October, Trump gained momentum and won every pre-election poll in the weeks leading up to the election. The final poll showed Trump leading Clinton 46% to 41% and the average of the final 3 polls showed Trump leading 47% to 43%, which was accurate compared to the results.


      = Predictions

      =
      The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arizona as of Election Day.


      = Results

      =


      By county




      By congressional district


      Trump won 5 of 9 congressional districts. Both candidates won a district held by the other party.


      = Turnout

      =
      Voter Turnout was 74.2% with 2,661,497 ballots cast out of 3,588,466 voters.


      Analysis


      Donald Trump won Arizona with a margin of 3.5%, a reduced margin from Mitt Romney's 9.0% margin in 2012. Arizona was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012, primarily due to an increase in Hispanic voter turnout in southern Arizona, including heavily populated Maricopa County. This was the weakest performance for a Republican in the state since 1992. Trump also lost the 2nd congressional district that Romney had won four years earlier.
      Maricopa County in particular went from a 10.7% margin of victory for Romney in 2012 to a 2.8% margin of victory for Trump, making this only one of three times that a Democrat held the county's margins to single digits since 1952. Indeed, the only other times were 1964 and 1996. Clinton also came the closest of any Democrat to winning Yuma County since La Paz County broke off from it in the 1980s, as the county was last carried by a Democrat in 1964.
      Other rural counties that Bill Clinton had won in the 1990s continued to trend in a Republican direction, namely the formerly union-heavy Gila, Graham, and Greenlee counties. In terms of percentage of the vote, Trump's strongest support was in the northwest of the state, including Mohave County, which was the only county to give him over 70% of the vote. Clinton did best in the southern-central region along the US-Mexico border. Santa Cruz and Pima counties (home to Tucson) were among her strongest and among the places in the state where she outperformed Barack Obama in 2012.


      Electors


      Arizona had 11 electors in 2016. All of them voted for Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.
      The electors were

      Bruce Ash
      Walter Begay
      Sharon Giese
      Robert Graham
      Alberto Gutier
      Jerry Hayden
      Carole Joyce
      Jane Pierpoint Lynch
      J. Foster Morgan
      James O'Connor
      Edward Robson


      See also


      2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
      2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
      2016 Green Party presidential primaries
      2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
      2016 Republican Party presidential primaries


      References




      External links


      RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
      Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions

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