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      • The 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
      Clinton won the state with 55.5% of the vote over Trump's 41.35%, or a 14-point margin. Despite her victory in the state, Clinton's vote share was slightly poorer than the vote shares President Barack Obama got from the state in 2008 and 2012. This was the first time since 1976 that New Jersey did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Pennsylvania, and the first time since 1932 that New Jersey voted Democratic while Pennsylvania voted Republican. Donald Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Somerset County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888.


      Primary elections


      New Jersey's presidential primaries were on June 7, 2016, with the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties participating. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any 1 primary in which to vote.


      = Democratic primary

      =

      Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

      Bernie Sanders
      Hillary Clinton


      = Republican primary

      =

      3 candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

      Ted Cruz (withdrawn prior to primary)
      John Kasich (withdrawn prior to primary)
      Donald Trump


      General election




      = Predictions

      =


      = Candidate ballot access

      =

      Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine, Democratic
      Donald Trump/Mike Pence, Republican
      Darrell L. Castle/Scott N. Bradley, Constitution
      Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg, American Delta Party
      Gary Johnson/Bill Weld, Libertarian
      Alyson Kennedy/Osborne Hart, Socialist Workers Party
      Gloria La Riva/Eugene Puryear, Socialism and Liberation
      Monica Moorehead/Lamont Lilly, Workers World Party
      Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka, Green Party


      = Results

      =


      By county



      Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

      Gloucester (largest municipality: Washington Township)
      Salem (largest city: Salem)


      By congressional district


      Clinton won 7 of 12 congressional districts. Trump and Clinton each won a district held by the other party.


      Analysis


      Hillary Clinton's 55.5% of the vote was 2.9% less than Barack Obama's win in the state in 2012. Overall, the trend from 2012 to 2016 was that suburban areas of central and northern New Jersey voted more Democratic, while the shore and southern New Jersey voted more Republican. Clinton's most notable improvements over Obama in 2012 were seen in Union, Somerset, and Morris Counties. In Morris, Clinton came within 5% of winning the county, which had not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964, and would later vote Democratic in 2020. Clinton's stronger performance in the suburban towns of north-central New Jersey, such as Summit, Westfield, and Bridgewater, helped her narrowly win the 7th congressional district.
      On the other hand, southern New Jersey, especially Cumberland County and Salem County, voted significantly more Republican than they had in 2012. For example, even though Cumberland County voted Democratic in both 2012 and 2016, Clinton won it by just 6%, whereas Obama won it by nearly 24% in 2012. Meanwhile, Trump flipped Salem County after Obama won it in 2012, and he also was the first Republican to win Gloucester County since 1988. Additionally, the four shore counties of Monmouth, Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May all voted more Republican than they had in 2012, as Mitt Romney had won these four counties collectively by around 6% in 2012, but Trump won them by 17% in 2016.


      See also


      United States presidential elections in New Jersey
      First presidency of Donald Trump
      2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
      2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
      Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey


      References

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