opinion polling for the next new zealand general election

    Opinion polling for the next New Zealand general election GudangMovies21 Rebahinxxi LK21

    Several polling firms have conducted opinion polls during the term of the 54th New Zealand Parliament (2023–present) for the next New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand (1 News) conducted by Verian (formerly known as Colmar Brunton and Kantar Public), along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan and by Curia (Taxpayers' Union). Curia Market Research is no longer a member of the Research Association of New Zealand, following complaints and the resignation from RANZ by its principal, David Farrar. The sample size, margin of error, and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.
    The current parliament was elected on 14 October 2023. The next election is expected to take place in late 2026.


    Party vote


    The parties shown in the table are National (NAT), Labour (LAB), Green (GRN), ACT, New Zealand First (NZF), Te Pāti Māori (TPM), and Opportunities (TOP). Other parties may have also registered in some polls, but are not listed in this table.


    Preferred prime minister




    Government approval rating




    Forecasts


    The use of mixed-member proportional representation allows ready conversion of a party's support into a party vote percentage and therefore a number of seats in Parliament. Projections generally assume no material change to the electorate seats held by each party (ACT retains Epsom and Tāmaki, Greens retain Auckland Central, Rongotai and Wellington Central, Te Pāti Māori retains all six of their Māori electorates, etc). Parties that do not hold an electorate seat and poll below 5% are assumed to win zero seats.
    When determining the scenarios for the overall result, the minimum parties necessary to form majority governments are listed (provided parties have indicated openness to working together). Actual governments formed may include other parties beyond the minimum required for a majority; this happened after the 2014 election, when National only needed one seat from another party to reach a 61-seat majority, but instead chose to form a 64-seat government with Māori, ACT and United Future.

    * indicates an overhang seat


    See also


    Sixth National Government of New Zealand
    2023 New Zealand general election
    Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election
    Politics of New Zealand


    Notes




    References

Kata Kunci Pencarian: opinion polling for the next new zealand general election

opinion polling for the next new zealand general electionopinion polling for the 2023 new zealand general election