statewide opinion polling for the 2016 united states presidential election

    Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election GudangMovies21 Rebahinxxi LK21

    Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.


    Most recent polling


    Immediately before the election, Hillary Clinton had a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error showed 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump were within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third-party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, were also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate Evan McMullin was tied with Donald Trump in the state of Utah, but he has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.


    Alabama


    9 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 60%–39%(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 62%–34%


    Alaska


    3 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 59%–38%(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 51%–37%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    Arizona


    11 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 48%–45%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Arkansas


    6 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 61%–34%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    California


    55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 62%–32%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    Colorado


    9 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 48%–43%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    Connecticut


    7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%
    Four-way race


    Delaware


    3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 53%-42%
    Four-way race


    District of Columbia


    3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 91%–4%
    No polling was conducted post August 1, 2016


    Florida



    29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 49%–48%


    Georgia


    16 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 51%–46%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Hawaii


    4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 62%–30%
    No polling was conducted in 2016


    Idaho


    4 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 61%–36%(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 59%–28%
    Four-way race


    Illinois


    20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 56%–39%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    Indiana


    11 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49% (Republican in 2012) 54%–44%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 57%–38%
    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Iowa


    6 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 51%–42%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    Kansas


    6 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 56%–42% (Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 57%–36%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    Kentucky


    8 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 57%–41% (Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 63%–33%
    Two-way race

    Five-way race


    Louisiana


    8 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 59%–40% (Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 58%–38%
    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Maine


    4 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 48%–45%

    Four-way race


    Maryland


    10 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36% (Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 60%–34%
    Four-way race


    Massachusetts


    11 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36% (Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 60%–33%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    Michigan


    16 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41% (Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 48%–47%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Minnesota


    10 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 46%–45%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    Mississippi


    6 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 56%–43% (Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 58%–40%
    No polling conducted post September 1, 2016


    Missouri


    10 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2% (Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 57%–38%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Montana


    3 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 49%–47% (Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 56%–36%
    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Nebraska


    5 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 59%–34%
    Four-way race


    Nevada


    6 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43% (Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 48%–46%
    Two-way race

    Three-way

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    New Hampshire


    4 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 48%–47%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    New Jersey


    14 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42% (Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    New Mexico


    5 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42% (Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 48%–40%
    Four-way race


    New York


    29 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36% (Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 59%–37%

    Four-way race


    North Carolina


    15 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49% (Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 50%–46%

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    North Dakota


    3 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 63%–27%
    Four-way race


    Ohio


    18 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 52%–44%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    Oklahoma


    7 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 66%–34% (Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 65%–29%
    Three-way race


    Oregon


    7 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40% (Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 50%–39%
    Four-way race


    Pennsylvania


    20 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 48%–47%

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Rhode Island


    4 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35% (Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 54%–39%
    Four-way race


    South Carolina


    9 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 54%–45% (Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 55%–41%
    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    South Dakota


    3 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 53%–45% (Republican in 2012) 58%–40%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 62%–32%
    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Tennessee


    11 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 57%–42% (Republican in 2012) 59%–39%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 61%–35%

    Four-way race


    Texas


    38 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 55%–44% (Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 52%–43%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Utah


    6 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 62%–34% (Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 46%–28%
    Four-way race

    Five-way race

    Six-way race


    Vermont


    3 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30% (Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 56%–30%
    Four-way race


    Virginia


    13 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 50%–44%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race

    Four-way race

    Five-way race


    Washington


    12 electoral votes(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40% (Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
    Winner (Democratic in 2016) 54%–38%
    Two-way race

    Four-way race


    West Virginia


    5 electoral votes(Republican in 2008) 56%–43% (Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 69%–26%
    Two-way race

    Three-way race


    Wisconsin


    10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 56%–42% (Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 47%–46%

    Three-way race

    Four-way race


    Wyoming


    3 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 65%–33% (Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
    Winner (Republican in 2016) 67%–22%
    Four-way race


    See also


    General election polling

    Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
    Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election by demographic
    International opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
    Democratic primary polling

    Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
    Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
    Republican primary polling

    Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
    Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
    Older polling

    Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election


    Notes




    References

Kata Kunci Pencarian: statewide opinion polling for the 2016 united states presidential election

statewide opinion polling for the 2016 united states presidential election