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      In statistical hypothesis testing, a turning point test is a statistical test of the independence of a series of random variables. Maurice Kendall and Alan Stuart describe the test as "reasonable for a test against cyclicity but poor as a test against trend." The test was first published by Irénée-Jules Bienaymé in 1874.


      Statement of test


      The turning point test is a test of the null hypothesis

      H0: X1, X2, ..., Xn are independent and identically distributed random variables (iid)
      against

      H1: X1, X2, ..., Xn are not iid.
      This test assumes that the Xi have a continuous distribution (so adjacent values are almost surely never equal).


      = Test statistic

      =
      We say i is a turning point if the vector X1, X2, ..., Xi, ..., Xn is not monotonic at index i. The number of turning points is the number of maxima and minima in the series.
      Letting T be the number of turning points, then for large n, T is approximately normally distributed with mean (2n − 4)/3 and variance (16n − 29)/90. The test statistic




      z
      =



      T




      2
      n

      4

      3






      16
      n

      29

      90






      {\displaystyle z={\frac {T-{\frac {2n-4}{3}}}{\sqrt {\frac {16n-29}{90}}}}}


      is approximately standard normal for large values of n.


      Applications


      The test can be used to verify the accuracy of a fitted time series model such as that describing irrigation requirements.


      References

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    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    Turning Point Test: An Easy Way To Check Randomness

    TurningPoint – Teaching & Learning Support

    TurningPoint – Teaching & Learning Support

    Results of turning point test | Download Table

    Results of turning point test | Download Table

    Turning Point Questions Flashcards | Quizlet

    Turning Point Questions Flashcards | Quizlet

    Turning Point - Elateminds

    Turning Point - Elateminds

    Turning point check mark Stock Photo - Alamy

    Turning point check mark Stock Photo - Alamy

    Solved The Turning Point Test If y1,dots,yn is a sequence | Chegg.com

    Solved The Turning Point Test If y1,dots,yn is a sequence | Chegg.com

    2: Results from the Turning Point test for testing the independence ...

    2: Results from the Turning Point test for testing the independence ...