- Source: 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri
The 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Republican incumbent Josh Hawley was re-elected to a second term, defeating his Democratic challenger Lucas Kunce. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.
Hawley was the favorite in the polls throughout the cycle due to the state's Republican lean, though some polls showed a close race. Kunce, who had previously run in 2022, losing narrowly in the Democratic primaries to Trudy Busch Valentine, was seen as a strong candidate who outpaced Hawley in fundraising for much of the race and outspent him in advertising.
The two candidates participated in two debates—one alongside third-party opponents and a second one-on-one televised event. Both debates were marked by frequent attacks. Hawley criticized Kunce over an accidental shooting involving a reporter at a campaign event and his refusal to endorse a presidential candidate. Kunce countered by attacking Hawley’s involvement in objecting to the certification of the 2020 election and his opposition to abortion rights. Despite the contentious exchanges, the candidates found some common ground on border security and opposition to deploying U.S. troops to the Middle East.
Hawley ultimately won re-election with a comfortable 55.6% of the vote to Kunce’s 41.8%, improving his 2018 margin by around 8 points. Despite his loss, Kunce outperformed Vice President Kamala Harris by 2 points, while Hawley underperformed Donald Trump by nearly 3 points, making the race slightly closer than the concurrent presidential election.
Background
From 1904 to 2004, Missouri's electoral votes always went to the winner of the presidential race, with only one exception: in 1956, during the landslide re-election of President Dwight Eisenhower, Missouri went to Illinois Governor Adlai Stevenson. The state's accuracy in voting with the national consensus includes the highly competitive elections of 1960, 1976, and 2000.
Missouri is no longer thought of as a perennial swing state, and is today considered to be a strongly red state. Since 1964, the only three Democrats it has backed have been Southerners: Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter, and Bill Clinton. In 2008, Missouri narrowly voted for the losing candidate, Republican John McCain, despite a sizable electoral college win for Democrat Barack Obama. In 2012, Missouri favored losing candidate Mitt Romney by nearly 10 percentage points, despite another significant victory for Obama in the rest of the country. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump by over 15 points, despite Trump losing the latter election. This marked the third time in four presidential elections that Missouri supported a losing Republican. Missouri has not supported any Democratic candidate since Bill Clinton in 1996.
In more recent years, Republicans have experienced significant electoral success in the state. In 2016, the Republican Party secured victories in key statewide positions, including Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Treasurer. Building on this momentum, in 2022, Scott Fitzpatrick successfully won the position of Auditor, a seat previously held by Democrat Nicole Galloway. Notably, Nicole Galloway remains the last Democrat to have been elected to a statewide position in the state.
The most recent Democrat to secure election to the Senate from Missouri was Claire McCaskill back in 2012. She sought a third term in 2018, facing off against Josh Hawley, but was ultimately defeated by a margin of 5.8%.
Most pollsters categorized this race as safe for the Republican Party.
Republican primary
= Candidates
=Nominee
Josh Hawley, incumbent U.S. senator
= Endorsements
== Fundraising
== Results
=Democratic primary
= Candidates
=Nominee
Lucas Kunce, nonprofit executive and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022
Eliminated in primary
Mita Biswas
December Harmon, member of the Columbia Police Review Board
Karla May, state senator (2019–present)
Withdrawn
Wesley Bell, St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney (ran for U.S. House)
= Endorsements
== Fundraising
== Polling
== Results
=Third-party and independent candidates
= Declared
=Jared Young (Better Party), payroll services executive
Nathan Kline (Green), executive assistant
W. C. Young (Libertarian)
= Results
== Fundraising
=General election
= Predictions
== Post-primary endorsements
== Polling
=Aggregate polls
= Debate
== Results
=Notes
Partisan clients
References
External links
Official campaign websites
Josh Hawley (R) for Senate
Lucas Kunce (D) for Senate
Jared Young (I) for Senate
Kata Kunci Pencarian:
- Pemilihan umum Presiden Amerika Serikat 2016
- Daftar dukungan kampanye presiden Donald Trump 2024
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di Connecticut 2018
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di Maine 2018
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di Minnesota 2018
- Pemilihan Senat Amerika Serikat di Rhode Island 2018
- Pemilihan umum Senat Amerika Serikat di New Jersey 2018
- Daftar dukungan kampanye presiden Kamala Harris 2024
- Douglas MacArthur
- Bernie Sanders
- 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri
- 2024 United States Senate elections
- 2024 Missouri Senate election
- 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia
- 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri
- 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
- 2024 United States Senate election in Montana
- 2018 United States Senate election in Missouri
- 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio
- 2006 United States Senate election in Missouri
